WP 9: Long term modelling of sustainable FNS

General Information

The work package will provide foresight towards 2050 on sustainable EU FNS by improving long term models:

  1. To develop a work plan for operationalizing the framework for assessing EU SFNS (WP1, 2 to 4) in a quantitative toolbox (SUSFANS), with a focus on two major food supply chains; (WP5), which links enhanced European and global economic and biophysical models, including short term models (WP8), and micro models of EU balanced diets (WP7);
  2. To improve food demand modelling at the household level, building on WP2 and WP7;
  3. To develop the modelling of food supply, building on WP4;
  4. To enhance the modelling of the food chain, building on WP3;
  5. Building on task 1-4, to create the SUSFANS toolbox for assessing EU SFNS. The toolbox enables the consistent monitoring of EU SFNS in the short, medium and long term (up to 50 years) for use by case studies (WP5), foresight (WP11) and policy support (WP11).

Latest Publication

Deliverable 9.5 The SUSFANS toolbox for assessing EU Sustainable food and nutrition security

The SUSFANS toolbox for assessing EU sustainable food and nutrition security provides a multidisciplinary instrument for analysing and monitoring SFNS in the EU, providing a set of mutually consistent indicators and signals for (un)sustainable food (in)secure situations.

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Deliverable 9.6: The strengths and limitations of the SUSFANS metrics and models for assessing sustainable food and nutrition security in Europe

The SUSFANS model toolbox comprises state-of-the-art foresight and newly developed diet models for a holistic sustainability and dietary assessment. The toolbox is ready to assess the food system transitions to support healthy and sustainable diets of EU citizens. A future research agenda for the modelling of food system properties is proposed regarding modelling of food supply, consumer choices, global impacts and for assessing and communicating complex model results.

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Deliverable 9.2: Enhanced modelling of sustainable food and nutrition security: food consumption and nutrition behaviour of European households

This deliverable describes the enhanced modelling of food consumption and nutrition behaviour under constraints with a focus on European households and population health impacts of changes in diets. The demand side enhancements enable the analysis of SFNS over time and in response to (policy) shocks.

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Deliverable 9.3: Enhanced modelling of sustainable food and nutrition security: food supply and use of scarce resources

This deliverable reports on Task 9.3 and describes the enhanced modelling of food supply and the use of scarce resources. The enhancements improve the analysis of sustainable food and nutrition security in response to (policy) shocks with regard to coverage and accuracy of sustainability metrics provided by long-run modelling tools in SUSFANS.

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